The test is this: if we took the news of these past few weeks and sent it back in time twenty years, would I agree that it looked like the beginning of an AI Singularity? The intellectually honest answer is: yes, absolutely. But then that’s all we need. No backsies.
Baseline LLM improvements are agonizingly minimal and expensive now, after years of honestly amazing growth. This is just flying cars again–a technology booms and we think it has no limits until we find out that it does.
I don’t see that at all, but the next few months will tell, I think