Depends on your risk profile. But if you look at the growing capex and consecutive negative free cash flow of big tech, it is a sign of worry if you are only investing short term or you do swing trades.
My uneducated and impoverished thought is cash will buy you real estate which is about to get really cheap, whereas any stock you buy today is going to have a severe crash very soon.
But most of my investments are in beans: i’ve got jars or black, red, garbanzos, kidney, and navy beans; also a variety of lentils.
Real estate has the potential to be cheap in 20 years as the baby boomers die leaving smaller generations to buy their larger number of homes.
Any kind of asset can be a good investment. If you have a place to store it, classic cars only go up in price and some of them are under 10K. Bonus: you get to drive them. I know someone whose 401k is mostly collectable guns (rare, 100+ years old guns). You just need to choose something with lasting value. Don’t repeat the Beanie Baby crash.
Timing the market usually fails. Dollar cost averaging can give you a small advantage.
Assuming that AI follows a similar path as the .com boom… A lot of companies will go under leaving a few companies who will benefit greatly. It’s not that AI is going away. We’re just pruning the dead wood.
The AI bubble won’t be a typical dip. Some, maybe most, of these companies will be wiped out. No idea as to who crawls out the blast crater, but there will be survivors.
In theory you could short Microsoft, NVidia, etc. but the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, so even though those stock prices are a crack fueled fever dream, betting against them is likely gonna be a trip to the poor house. I saw someone on here recommend some funds that are mostly large cap, traditional companies (read, not big tech) and some bond funds. I was going to research his recs today and see if it would make sense to move some money out of the S&P 500 index fund that I lean on way too much (of couse, it would have been better if I considered this a week ago 🤦🏾).
So should I withdraw whatever i have in technology index funds, while I have the gains?
Depends on your risk profile. But if you look at the growing capex and consecutive negative free cash flow of big tech, it is a sign of worry if you are only investing short term or you do swing trades.
If you have a place to park it that will earn more or lose less, definitely. Putting into cash will lose at least 3% per year.
My uneducated and impoverished thought is cash will buy you real estate which is about to get really cheap, whereas any stock you buy today is going to have a severe crash very soon.
But most of my investments are in beans: i’ve got jars or black, red, garbanzos, kidney, and navy beans; also a variety of lentils.
Real estate has the potential to be cheap in 20 years as the baby boomers die leaving smaller generations to buy their larger number of homes.
Any kind of asset can be a good investment. If you have a place to store it, classic cars only go up in price and some of them are under 10K. Bonus: you get to drive them. I know someone whose 401k is mostly collectable guns (rare, 100+ years old guns). You just need to choose something with lasting value. Don’t repeat the Beanie Baby crash.
I’m still holding ono my Smurf collection! Some day they will be valuable!
I’m thinking withdraw my gains, wait for the crash, buy in again? Damn, it’s a gamble…
Timing the market usually fails. Dollar cost averaging can give you a small advantage.
Assuming that AI follows a similar path as the .com boom… A lot of companies will go under leaving a few companies who will benefit greatly. It’s not that AI is going away. We’re just pruning the dead wood.
The AI bubble won’t be a typical dip. Some, maybe most, of these companies will be wiped out. No idea as to who crawls out the blast crater, but there will be survivors.
In theory you could short Microsoft, NVidia, etc. but the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, so even though those stock prices are a crack fueled fever dream, betting against them is likely gonna be a trip to the poor house. I saw someone on here recommend some funds that are mostly large cap, traditional companies (read, not big tech) and some bond funds. I was going to research his recs today and see if it would make sense to move some money out of the S&P 500 index fund that I lean on way too much (of couse, it would have been better if I considered this a week ago 🤦🏾).
Lemme see if I can dig up that post…
Hopefully this link works, I’m using Voyager and haven’t figured out how to link posts https://lemmy.world/comment/26583022